FireKeepers Casino 400

Date
Jun 8
Distance
200 Laps

RACE RECAP

Denny Hamlin won a thrilling fuel-mileage battle at Michigan International Speedway to capture the FireKeepers Casino 400, his third victory of the 2025 season. The race came down to a chess match in the closing laps after a caution with 53 laps remaining set up a strategic showdown. William Byron led 98 laps and appeared poised for victory, but ran out of fuel coming to the white flag, handing the lead to Hamlin with just two laps remaining. Carson Hocevar, who had led much of the final run, also fell victim to fuel issues and a cut tire with under 20 laps to go.

Hamlin crossed the line 1.099 seconds ahead of Chris Buescher, with Ty Gibbs completing a strong day for Joe Gibbs Racing in third. Bubba Wallace and Kyle Larson rounded out the top five on the fast two-mile oval. The race featured 15 lead changes among 11 drivers and 7 cautions for 33 laps, plus a red flag lasting over 11 minutes. Ross Chastain, Zane Smith, Kyle Busch, Ryan Preece, and Brad Keselowski filled out the top ten.

The fuel-mileage drama underscored how strategy can flip the script at Michigan, where long green flag runs and the wide racing surface create opportunities for aggressive pit calls to pay off -- or backfire spectacularly.

BY THE NUMBERS

15
Lead Changes
11
Leaders
7/33
Cautions / Laps
3,026
Green Flag Passes
1.099
Margin of Victory
142.574
Avg MPH
2:48:20
Race Time
16.5%
Under Caution
20.9
Avg Green Run (Laps)
Stage Winners
S1Chris Buescher
S2William Byron
Lap Leaders
#24Byron98laps
#77Hocevar32laps
#9Elliott19laps
#17Buescher13laps
#19Briscoe11laps
#2Cindric10laps
#12Blaney7laps
#11Hamlin5laps
#20Bell2laps
#38Smith2laps
#51Ware1laps
Caution Breakdown
1L47โ€“526LStage 1 ConclusionLD #99
2L61โ€“655L#4, 42 Incident Turn 2
3L68โ€“703L#2, 19, 41, 48, 99 Incident Turn 2 [Red Flag 0:11:32]
4L73โ€“775L#42 Incident Turn 4
5L110โ€“1134L#12 Incident Turn 4LD #20
6L122โ€“1265LStage 2 ConclusionLD #12
7L147โ€“1515L#34 Incident Turn 2LD #12

KEY TAKEAWAYS

01Denny Hamlin's fuel-mileage victory was a masterclass in conservation -- fantasy managers who trust Hamlin's racecraft in strategy-dependent races were handsomely rewarded.
02William Byron led a race-high 98 laps but finished 28th after running out of fuel on the final lap -- a brutal reminder that laps-led points can evaporate when the tank hits empty.
03Chris Buescher's Stage 1 win and P2 finish made him one of the best value plays of the week, delivering premium fantasy points at a mid-tier salary.
04Ty Gibbs continued his impressive 2025 trajectory with a podium finish at P3, establishing himself as a consistent fantasy option beyond the traditional Big Three at JGR.
05Michigan's fuel-mileage tendencies make it one of the most volatile fantasy tracks on the schedule -- conservative roster construction with floor plays is the smart approach here.

VALUE PICKS

9.5
pts/$
Car #41
Ryan Preece$4
P9S2:P6
4.60
pts/$
Car #23
Bubba Wallace$10
P4S1:P8S2:P7
4.60
pts/$
Car #16
Shane van Gisbergen$5
P18
4.44
pts/$
Car #54
Ty Gibbs$9
P3
4.40
pts/$
Car #71
Zane Smith$8
P7Led:2

BUSTS

0.5
pts/$
Car #48
Alex Bowman$10
P36
1.05
pts/$
Car #12
Ryan Blaney$14
P32S1:P6Led:7
1.58
pts/$
Car #22
Joey Logano$12
P22
1.80
pts/$
Car #20
Christopher Bell$14
P16Led:2
2.20
pts/$
Car #77
Carson Hocevar$11
P29S1:P10S2:P3Led:32

PERFECT LINEUP

Optimal 5-driver roster for this race

Salary
$50/50
Avg Finish
P8
Total Points
340.03
GroupDriverSalaryFinishPts
A
Car #11
Denny Hamlin
$151
113.00
2 ร— 56.50
B
Car #17
Chris Buescher
$132
91.53
1.75 ร— 52.30
C
Car #23
Bubba Wallace
$104
69.00
1.5 ร— 46.00
D
Car #41
Ryan Preece
$89
47.50
1.25 ร— 38.00
E
Car #10
Ty Dillon
$424
19.00
1 ร— 19.00